{"id":2353,"date":"2022-12-19T12:32:00","date_gmt":"2022-12-19T12:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mapalstg.wpengine.com\/en\/?post_type=resource&#038;p=2353"},"modified":"2026-08-26T12:55:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T11:55:13","slug":"global-inflation-rates-are-rising-heres-how-it-might-affect-your-bakery-business-and-what-you-can-do-about-it","status":"publish","type":"resource","link":"https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/resources\/articles\/global-inflation-rates-are-rising-heres-how-it-might-affect-your-bakery-business-and-what-you-can-do-about-it\/","title":{"rendered":"How rising food costs impact your cafe or bakery business"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"wp-block-mapal-vertical-section alignfull vertical-section is-layout-flow wp-block-mapal-vertical-section-is-layout-flow\">\n\t\n\t<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull is-light vertical-section__container\">\n\t\t<span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-background-color has-background-dim-100 has-background-dim\"><\/span>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-cover-is-layout-constrained\">\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-group vertical-section__row is-layout-grid wp-container-core-group-is-layout-79dc550c wp-block-group-is-layout-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-group vertical-section__content is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-mapal-content-section content-section wp-block-group mapal-pattern-resource-starter-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-columns content-section__columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-c7ebd8d6 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-column wp-block-column--left is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2119\" height=\"1414\" src=\"https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2352\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it.jpg 2119w, https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/mapal-os.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/08\/Global_inflation_rates_are_rising._Here_s_how_it_might_affect_your_bakery_business_-_and_what_you_can_do_about_it-2048x1367.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2119px) 100vw, 2119px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You might have to be living under a rock to have avoided hearing anything about the recent rising food costs. Thanks to a variety of factors like Russia\u2019s war on Ukraine and post-pandemic inflation, global prices have been on the rise \u2014 and there\u2019s no sign it&#8217;ll stop just yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-4\">But what do rising food costs mean for me?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rising prices globally means that\u00a0<strong>everything is ultimately going to cost more.<\/strong>\u00a0You\u2019ve probably already noticed this: the amount of money that went into making one cinnamon bun in January this year is probably noticeably different from how much it\u2019s costing you now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Costs on transport, packaging, and raw ingredients have been on the rise since the pandemic, and the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/leaders\/2022\/05\/19\/the-coming-food-catastrophe\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">global food crisis<\/a>\u00a0spurred on by Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine is only prolonging these rising costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This also makes it incredibly important for you as a business to\u00a0<strong>ensure that<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>you\u2019re not losing out on sunken costs from food waste at the end of the day<\/strong>. If you\u2019re seeing that you have a large number of unsold croissants at closing, you are now actually losing\u00a0<i>even more\u00a0<\/i>on those croissants than you did in the previous years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.savvie.io\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">&gt;&gt; See how Savvie by Mapal helps your business prevent money, time, and food wasted in your store with AI &lt;&lt;<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-4\">Why should I worry about rising food costs?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All kinds of businesses &#8211; bis and small &#8211; need to be aware that these are precarious times, and that it\u2019s<strong>\u00a0now more important than ever to keep a keen eye on your margins<\/strong>. Since your overhead (costs) is rising, your profitability is likely going to be more difficult to maintain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More costs = less profit<br> Less profit =\u2026we all know what that means!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Larger businesses like Starbucks or Costa Coffee have their own in-house finance and data teams that can help them calculate financial risks to stay afloat in hard times. Smaller businesses don&#8217;t have these kind of resources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-4\">Numbers? I\u2019m here to maintain my shop and keep my customers happy.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We totally get that. The key is to start incorporating little changes to your routine. Just like going to the gym, the hardest part is getting started (we\u2019re making this comparison from personal experience). For a small business, it\u2019s incredibly important to start making data-driven decisions, rather than going only by gut instinct. We\u2019ll show you how:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-5\"><strong>Step 1: Get to know your numbers<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Get to know the hows, whys, and wheres of your numbers. More often than not, you already have your numbers stored somewhere, whether that\u2019s from your POS system or in your sales log. Identify the costs of your raw materials, get to know your biggest cost-drivers, and understand your best-selling products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Log these down somewhere, we suggest starting on a digital spreadsheet like Google Sheets or Excel. If you have budget for an accounting tool, we suggest something like Fiken (Norway), Visma (Norway), or Quickbooks. Of course you can also rely on traditional pen-and-paper methods, but it will be more difficult to do future reporting and you\u2019ll likely spend more time sifting through your numbers manually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-5\"><strong>Step 2: Understand key financial metrics in your business<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key financial metrics to understand within your business<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list is-style-list-dark\">\n<li>Sales \u2014 What are you selling the most? Where are your sales coming from? If you can identify when and why sales are good, you can continue with your current strategy to maintain a higher level of sales and generate more revenue.<\/li>\n\n<li>Profit &amp; Loss (P&amp;L) \u2014 This is your company\u2019s income (sales and revenue) minus the expenses during a certain period of time (quarterly, every six months, or yearly). Essentially, revenue minus costs = profit \u2014 or loss.<\/li>\n\n<li>Cash Flow \u2014 Understand your cash inflow (money coming in) versus your cash outflow (money going out). When your cash inflow exceeds your cash outflow, you\u2019re operating \u201cin black\u201d \u2014 meaning you\u2019re generating more profit! Yay!<\/li>\n\n<li>Net Income \u2014 Your net income can help indicate whether your business is losing money. Your net income is what is left of your income after you have subtracted all your expenses \u2014 including taxes.<\/li>\n\n<li>Gross Margin \u2014 This is the money you have leftover after subtracting the costs of the product you\u2019re selling from what you made from the product. So if you sold a croissant for \u20ac3, your gross margin for one croissant would be \u20ac3 minus the costs of making the croissant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Still unsure of how to proceed? Try taking a quick online course, listen to some financial podcasts for small businesses, or even subscribe to blogs from companies that provide financial software or tools. These blogs often come packed with great content, including tips on how to maintain a business from a financial perspective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-5\"><strong>Step 3: Use your numbers to forecast future numbers<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ever wanted to be able to predict the future?\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An easy way to do that is to take your current numbers and historical data, make some basic assumptions about any constants your store will experience, and come up with a forecast for what your future numbers will be like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The goal of forecasting your sales is not only to have an idea of how much you will sell in the future, but also to be better informed about your current and future decisions. Your sales forecast is also your guide to how much you should\u00a0<i>really\u00a0<\/i>be spending. Aside from that, your sales forecasts can also help inform any potential investors on how well your business is doing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can find detailed articles on how to create a sales forecast with a quick Google, but essentially you want to take any costs involved in making a product, multiply that by your estimation of the number of sales you will have, and\u00a0<i>voil\u00e1<\/i>\u00a0\u2014 you have a forecasted sales number on one product.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-5\"><strong>Some key tips to remember:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Take into account of inflation rates into your forecasts!<\/strong><br> It\u2019s easy to think things look rosy in your forecasts, but remember to include the inflation rate in your costs in your forecasting. In Norway, a reliable source for the current inflation rate is the Consumer Price Index (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssb.no\/en\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">SSB<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rising energy prices are key!<\/strong><br> Many businesses often forget to factor in rising energy prices in their forecasts. Your forecast will not be very accurate if you leave out a key chunk in your rising costs \u2014 energy, or if you assume that your energy costs are constant. Another tip: consider getting a fixed contract if you operate in a country with rapidly-rising energy prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading is-style-heading-5\"><strong>Step 4: Automate this process<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We know, all of that sounds very overwhelming \u2014\u00a0<i>and time-consuming<\/i>. For a small business, especially a bakery or cafe, time\u00a0<i>is<\/i>\u00a0money.\u00a0<strong>Don\u2019t forget to factor in time as a major cost in your operations, too!<\/strong>\u00a0A good way to reduce time spent on these tasks is to find a way to automate them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can find many tools that can help you to do the above tasks automatically, at least partially.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Want a tool that does all of that, and more?\u00a0Savvie\u2019s all-in-one tool allows small-to-medium sized owners of cafes and bakeries to easily <a href=\"https:\/\/www.savvie.io\/use-cases\/bakers\" rel=\"nofollow\">receive sales insight via AI-generated sales forecasts<\/a>. This means we do all the boring numbers work, and all you need to do is sit back, relax, and bake your goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.savvie.io\" rel=\"nofollow\">Savvie integrates with many POS systems<\/a>\u00a0commonly used in bakeries and cafes, making it an even more seamless experience from logging a sale to receiving your final numbers. You will also receive predictions on what and how much to order (based on your store\u2019s historical data), and be able to track and manage your orders, vendors, and products, as well as food waste from your store. All of this is done by the machine learning algorithm in our app\u00a0<strong>so that you can spend more time doing the things that matter to you<\/strong>, like devising new recipes for that chocolate dessert you want to launch next month.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cafe and bakery costs are rising, but how should you tackle it? By getting to know your numbers and create sales forecasts to remain profitable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":2354,"template":"resources","meta":{"resource_author_photo":{"attachment_id":0,"blog_id":0},"resource_webinar_contributors":[],"resource_whitepaper_contributors":[],"case_study_logo":0,"case_study_client_summary":"","resource_is_gated":false,"event_date":"","event_time":"","event_location_place":"","event_location_street":"","event_status":"","hubspot_form_id":"","download_cta_label":"Download","video_embed_url":"","_mapal_resource_is_blueprint":false,"_mapal_resource_blueprint_key":"","editor_notices":[],"footnotes":"","_mapal_market_applicability":[],"_mapal_localisation_intent":"","_mapal_localisation_intent_reason":"","_mapal_content_proposal_desired_slug":""},"resource_type":[14],"resource_tag":[],"resource_topic":[],"resource_product":[],"class_list":["post-2353","resource","type-resource","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","resource_type-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.1 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How rising food costs impact your cafe or bakery business | Hospitality Insights | Mapal UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Cafe and bakery costs are rising, but how should you tackle it? 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